RooFit v3.52 -- Developed by Wouter Verkerke and David Kirkby Copyright (C) 2000-2012 NIKHEF, University of California & Stanford University All rights reserved, please read http://roofit.sourceforge.net/license.txt file: /phys/groups/tev/scratch3/users/rompotis/CombinationResults/resultsV7updated/mssm_mA130tb10_comb_combined_AllSyst_model.root Creating asimov data at mu = 0, profiling at mu = 0 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 EDM is above max tolerance 0.0152142 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Switching minuit type from Minuit2 to Minuit Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 EDM is above max tolerance 0.0152142 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Switching minuit type from Minuit2 to Minuit Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Successful fit ------------------------ Getting limit for nll: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0610135 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Initial guess: 0.810165 Sigma(obs): 0.41316 Sigma(mu,0): 0.41316 muhat: 0 qmu95: 3.83948 qmu: 5.8582 pmu: 0.0066767 1-pb: 0.69613 CLs: 0.0219722 ---------------------- Starting iteration 0 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Previous guess: 0.810165 Sigma(obs): 0.397332 Sigma(mu,0): 0.397332 muhat: 0 pmu: 0.0207245 1-pb: 0.5 CLs: 0.0414489 qmu95: 3.68186 qmu: 4.15757 qmuA0: 4.15757 Precision: 0.00389564 Correction: -0.0310365 New guess: 0.779128 ---------------------- Starting iteration 1 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0621892 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Previous guess: 0.779128 Sigma(obs): 0.402265 Sigma(mu,0): 0.402265 muhat: 0 pmu: 0.0263816 1-pb: 0.5 CLs: 0.0527632 qmu95: 3.88804 qmu: 3.7514 qmuA0: 3.7514 Precision: 0.003944 Correction: 0.00967269 New guess: 0.788801 ---------------------- Starting iteration 2 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Previous guess: 0.788801 Sigma(obs): 0.402607 Sigma(mu,0): 0.402607 muhat: 0 pmu: 0.0250427 1-pb: 0.5 CLs: 0.0500854 qmu95: 3.84286 qmu: 3.8386 qmuA0: 3.8386 Precision: 0.00394736 Correction: 0.000670316 New guess: 0.789471 Found limit for nll nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr: 0.789471 Finished in 3 iterations. ------------------------ Getting limit for nll: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Initial guess: 0.806471 Sigma(obs): 0.403097 Sigma(mu,0): 0.403097 muhat: 0 qmu95: 4.01686 qmu: 3.99559 pmu: 0.0228097 1-pb: 0.499287 CLs: 0.0455544 ---------------------- Starting iteration 0 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Previous guess: 0.806471 Sigma(obs): 0.397095 Sigma(mu,0): 0.397095 muhat: 0 pmu: 0.0211311 1-pb: 0.5 CLs: 0.0422623 qmu95: 3.95401 qmu: 4.12467 qmuA0: 4.12467 Precision: 0.00397231 Correction: -0.0120091 New guess: 0.794462 ---------------------- Starting iteration 1 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0622763 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Changing damping factor to 0.8, nrDamping = 1 NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Previous guess: 0.794462 Sigma(obs): 0.402982 Sigma(mu,0): 0.402982 muhat: 0 pmu: 0.0243358 1-pb: 0.5 CLs: 0.0486716 qmu95: 4.05735 qmu: 3.88664 qmuA0: 3.88664 Precision: 0.00401942 Correction: 0.0094227 New guess: 0.803885 ---------------------- Starting iteration 2 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Previous guess: 0.803885 Sigma(obs): 0.403324 Sigma(mu,0): 0.403324 muhat: 0 pmu: 0.0231227 1-pb: 0.5 CLs: 0.0462453 qmu95: 4.0138 qmu: 3.97264 qmuA0: 3.97264 Precision: 0.00403159 Correction: 0.0024324 New guess: 0.806317 Found limit for nll nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr: 0.806317 Finished in 3 iterations. Found N * sigma = 2 * 0.403159 Creating asimov data at mu = 0.806317, profiling at mu = 0.806317 ------------------------ Getting limit for nll: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.80632_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0660889 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Initial guess: 1.53633 Sigma(obs): 0.439271 Sigma(mu,0): 0.439271 muhat: 0.806317 qmu95: 2.75936 qmu: 11.261 pmu: 0.000395768 1-pb: 0.443651 CLs: 0.000711366 ---------------------- Starting iteration 0 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.80632_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0602222 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def EDM is above max tolerance 0.0360938 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.80632_with_constr Previous guess: 1.53633 Sigma(obs): 0.486707 Sigma(mu,0): 0.442932 muhat: 0.806317 pmu: 0.0668189 1-pb: 0.0244972 CLs: 0.0684969 qmu95: 2.76313 qmu: 2.24973 qmuA0: 12.0308 Precision: 0.00806351 Correction: 0.076368 New guess: 1.6127 ---------------------- Starting iteration 1 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.80632_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0291017 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def EDM is above max tolerance 0.0120701 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.80632_with_constr Previous guess: 1.6127 Sigma(obs): 0.491714 Sigma(mu,0): 0.44738 muhat: 0.806317 pmu: 0.0505082 1-pb: 0.0247176 CLs: 0.0517882 qmu95: 2.74718 qmu: 2.68942 qmuA0: 12.9943 Precision: 0.00810628 Correction: 0.00855471 New guess: 1.62126 ---------------------- Starting iteration 2 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.80632_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0300931 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.80632_with_constr Previous guess: 1.62126 Sigma(obs): 0.49222 Sigma(mu,0): 0.447859 muhat: 0.806317 pmu: 0.0488973 1-pb: 0.0247432 CLs: 0.0501379 qmu95: 2.74566 qmu: 2.74115 qmuA0: 13.1045 Precision: 0.00811062 Correction: 0.000868301 New guess: 1.62212 Found limit for nll nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.80632_with_constr: 1.62212 Finished in 3 iterations. ------------------------ Getting limit for nll: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Initial guess: 0.387312 Sigma(obs): 0.387224 Sigma(mu,0): 0.387224 muhat: 0 qmu95: 1 qmu: 1.08247 pmu: 0.148885 1-pb: 0.516352 CLs: 0.307838 ---------------------- Starting iteration 0 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Previous guess: 0.387312 Sigma(obs): 0.357222 Sigma(mu,0): 0.357222 muhat: 0 pmu: 0.139131 1-pb: 0.5 CLs: 0.278262 qmu95: 0.839 qmu: 1.17556 qmuA0: 1.17556 Precision: 0.00178652 Correction: -0.0300087 New guess: 0.357303 ---------------------- Starting iteration 1 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0721972 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Changing damping factor to 0.8, nrDamping = 1 NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Previous guess: 0.357303 Sigma(obs): 0.385323 Sigma(mu,0): 0.385323 muhat: 0 pmu: 0.17689 1-pb: 0.5 CLs: 0.35378 qmu95: 1.156 qmu: 0.859852 qmuA0: 0.859852 Precision: 0.00189894 Correction: 0.0224857 New guess: 0.379789 ---------------------- Starting iteration 2 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Changing damping factor to 0.64, nrDamping = 2 NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Previous guess: 0.379789 Sigma(obs): 0.385229 Sigma(mu,0): 0.385229 muhat: 0 pmu: 0.162096 1-pb: 0.5 CLs: 0.324193 qmu95: 1.031 qmu: 0.971957 qmuA0: 0.971957 Precision: 0.00191309 Correction: 0.00282991 New guess: 0.382619 ---------------------- Starting iteration 3 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr Previous guess: 0.382619 Sigma(obs): 0.385002 Sigma(mu,0): 0.385002 muhat: 0 pmu: 0.160158 1-pb: 0.5 CLs: 0.320316 qmu95: 1.014 qmu: 0.987657 qmuA0: 0.987657 Precision: 0.001921 Correction: 0.0015812 New guess: 0.3842 Found limit for nll nll_simPdf_asimovData_0_with_constr: 0.3842 Finished in 4 iterations. Found N * sigma = 1 * 0.3842 Creating asimov data at mu = 0.3842, profiling at mu = 0.3842 ------------------------ Getting limit for nll: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.3842_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0607344 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Initial guess: 1.10625 Sigma(obs): 0.415652 Sigma(mu,0): 0.415652 muhat: 0.3842 qmu95: 3.01528 qmu: 6.35197 pmu: 0.00586256 1-pb: 0.44387 CLs: 0.0105417 ---------------------- Starting iteration 0 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.3842_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0584124 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def EDM is above max tolerance 0.0215457 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.3842_with_constr Previous guess: 1.10625 Sigma(obs): 0.430826 Sigma(mu,0): 0.41884 muhat: 0.3842 pmu: 0.0468731 1-pb: 0.167208 CLs: 0.0562843 qmu95: 3.03434 qmu: 2.80884 qmuA0: 6.97602 Precision: 0.00565016 Correction: 0.0237845 New guess: 1.13003 ---------------------- Starting iteration 1 of nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.3842_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0147509 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.3842_with_constr Previous guess: 1.13003 Sigma(obs): 0.432442 Sigma(mu,0): 0.419978 muhat: 0.3842 pmu: 0.042291 1-pb: 0.167023 CLs: 0.050771 qmu95: 2.9989 qmu: 2.97458 qmuA0: 7.23982 Precision: 0.00566434 Correction: 0.00283682 New guess: 1.13287 Found limit for nll nll_simPdf_asimovData_0.3842_with_constr: 1.13287 Finished in 2 iterations. ------------------------ Getting limit for nll: nll_simPdf_obsData_with_constr Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Initial guess: 0.819734 Sigma(obs): 0.395986 Sigma(mu,0): 0.395986 muhat: 0.0641805 qmu95: 3.64702 qmu: 3.97478 pmu: 0.0230932 1-pb: 0.46954 CLs: 0.0435344 ---------------------- Starting iteration 0 of nll_simPdf_obsData_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0604518 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_obsData_with_constr Previous guess: 0.819734 Sigma(obs): 0.400115 Sigma(mu,0): 0.40393 muhat: 0.0641805 pmu: 0.02949 1-pb: 0.443912 CLs: 0.0530313 qmu95: 3.71547 qmu: 3.56584 qmuA0: 4.11846 Precision: 0.0041444 Correction: 0.00914639 New guess: 0.828881 ---------------------- Starting iteration 1 of nll_simPdf_obsData_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0327629 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_obsData_with_constr Previous guess: 0.828881 Sigma(obs): 0.411932 Sigma(mu,0): 0.404308 muhat: 0.0641805 pmu: 0.0316999 1-pb: 0.423188 CLs: 0.0549571 qmu95: 3.66543 qmu: 3.44613 qmuA0: 4.203 Precision: 0.00422633 Correction: 0.0163851 New guess: 0.845266 ---------------------- Starting iteration 2 of nll_simPdf_obsData_with_constr EDM is above max tolerance 0.0345349 0.001 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Minimization did NOT converge, Edm is above max Fit failed with status -1. Retrying with strategy 2 Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def Info in : Minuit2Minimizer::Minimize : Covar was made pos def NLL: nll_simPdf_obsData_with_constr Previous guess: 0.845266 Sigma(obs): 0.412695 Sigma(mu,0): 0.404827 muhat: 0.0641805 pmu: 0.0292024 1-pb: 0.422571 CLs: 0.0505732 qmu95: 3.60756 qmu: 3.58211 qmuA0: 4.35961 Precision: 0.00423302 Correction: 0.00133871 New guess: 0.846605 Found limit for nll nll_simPdf_obsData_with_constr: 0.846605 Finished in 3 iterations. Guess for bands +2sigma: 1.47291 +1sigma: 1.09872 -1sigma: 0.568858 -2sigma: 0.423729 Correct bands +2sigma: 1.62212 +1sigma: 1.13287 -1sigma: 0.568858 -2sigma: 0.423729 Median: 0.789471 Observed: 0.846605 Real time 0:17:16, CP time 1036.420 DEBUG-TABLE Tanb Observed Median +2sig +1sig -1sig -2sig DEBUG-TABLE mA= 130 tanb= 10 0.85 0.79 1.62 1.13 0.57 0.42